Now that a 2014 has come, I have decided to pull out my trusted crystal ball and give you some of my predictions for the year.
I think the biggest thing to watch is on the political front. This year we will have congressional elections for the House and Senate. Republicans will keep the House. Even if Republicans have a total meltdown, they will still keep the House. But their margins may shrink (currently the Republicans hold a 17-vote margin over the Democrats). The way congressional districts have been gerrymandered , that virtually guarantees minimum change in the composition of the House.
Republicans have a better than even chance to take over the Senate if they nominate the best conservative candidate that is “electable.” The GOP should be able to pick up seats in Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, North Carolina and West Virginia. Republicans need only a net of six seats to win the Senate.
The Black vote could be the margin of victory in states such as Arkansas, Louisiana and North Carolina. Each has Black voters who thoroughly turned off by the Democrats and Obama. If these Republican candidates take their message to the Black community, Republicans will take over the Senate.
I know many of my Democratic friends will laugh at me and my Republican friends will continue to want to dismiss the Black vote; but I dare my Republican leaders to call my bluff if they really want to win the Senate.
As I often say, I have been Black most of my life and I know the sentiments of my community very well. To prove my point, what was unthinkable just a month ago is going to happen more frequently going forward. Democrats, especially Blacks, for the first time are publicly voicing their dissatisfaction with Obama.
A group of very liberal Blacks are about to file a lawsuit against Obama for enacting policies that have decreased the number of Black students attending HBCUs. Civil Rights leaders such as Congressman John Lewis have publicly threatened to go to war with Obama over the lack of Black judges being nominated. On Black radio, there is huge vocalization of dissatisfaction with Obama. This was unimaginable only a few weeks ago.
Blacks turning away from Obama will be one of the top news stories of the year. The question is are Republicans prepared to take advantage of this opening within the Black community?
Gun violence and mass shootings will continue, not because of the availability of guns; but because of the continued breakdown in our moral fabric. By 2016, I predict that morals and values will be in the top five issues of importance to voters. This liberal drift towards pluralism and relativism will begin to reverse itself with a lot of help from within the Black community. Republicans, are you listening?
Look for a major reduction in corporate support for many of the reality TV shows that have proliferated over the past several years. These corporations will find it increasingly more difficult to justify the expenditure of their corporate dollars from a cost/benefit analysis.
I expect to see more suicides from those who played professional football and hockey. The issue of trauma to the brain during violent sports is a lot worse than the public is being told. I think over the next few years, pro football will become unrecognizable as we know it today.
There will be no comprehensive immigration reform. However, as a compromise, there will be a path to legalization, but not citizenship. Republicans who vote for citizenship will lose their next election and some will even be recalled before their next election (on the local level).
Journalism will continue its downward spiral towards the cult of personality. Journalists will continue down the path of becoming bigger than the story they are supposed to be covering. They will continue to put more emphasis on being famous versus being accurate.
My final prediction is that Obamacare will be a huge albatross around the necks of the Democrats for the next three years and will make their retaining the White House very problematic. The issue will be are the Republicans prepared to address some the major problems facing America with policy solutions?
If the answer is yes, then Republicans will win the White House. If the answer is no, we can kiss the America we know goodbye.
Raynard Jackson is president & CEO of Raynard Jackson & Associates, LLC., a Washington, D.C.-based public relations/government affairs firm. He can be reached through his Web site, www.raynardjackson.com. You can also follow him on Twitter at raynard1223.